Mimic possible methods of planting a industrial timber plantation would consider using (i.e., minimal site prep, no extensive weeding of plants that do not complete with saplings, no removal of unburned logs in burn pile, no individual seeding)
Assume canopy closure in 6 years after sapling planting in year 1, need plants to flower within 1-3 years
Split plot design in and out of the burnpile to address within/outside burnpile interaction (https://www.statisticshowto.com/split-plot-design/)
ideal: a control + all the seed species in each block, inside and outside the burnpile.
Would closely control for soil/other local conditions
Model
Number of germinated seedlings ~ species*treatment + plot characteristics (slope etc.) + Block
Treatment = “within” or “outside of burn pile”
Block = random effect accounting for variation between plots not accounted for by fixed effects of plot characteristics
½ m2 plots would be easy to nestle in the burn pile avoiding big bits of charcoal
Most burn piles will fit all 23 plots